Yes won. Smart money backed No (11 ranked wallets, average entry 47¢) and lost. Volume $4.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$316 on Yes from 31¢; the biggest loser gave up $125.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 66% · 18°C 27% · 16°C 0% | $30k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 79% · 17°C 19% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 52% · 11°C 32% · 9°C 13% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 59% · 20°C 27% · 18°C 9% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 42% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 14% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | Yes | $316.29 |
| 0xdd22… | Yes | $65.04 |
| RRR-WEATHER | Yes | $61.51 |
| BeefSlayer | Yes | $49.01 |
| BobbythePug | Yes | $48.13 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $37.40 |
| 0x2279… | Yes | $29.81 |
| crabrave | Yes | $23.32 |
| 0x87b3… | Yes | $20.04 |
| Windollar | Yes | $19.45 |
| 0xedbe… | Yes | $15.65 |
| heyhighhuii1 | Yes | $14.70 |
92 wallets held a position at the close. The 46 biggest winners took $873; the 46 biggest losers gave up $821. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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