No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 27¢) and lost. Volume $5.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
WrongBy1Degree took +$91 on No from 63¢; the biggest loser gave up $400.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 15? | 25°C 100% · 23°C 0% · 24°C 0% | $21k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 99% · 18°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 57% · 14°C 19% · 12°C 18% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 99% · 30°C 3% · 31°C 0% | $10k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 50% · 11°C 35% · 13°C 11% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 60% · 9°C 28% · 11°C 11% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| WrongBy1Degree | No | $90.87 |
| blowdryer | No | $60.66 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $59.16 |
| 0xdd22… | No | $54.76 |
| 241532532432 | No | $47.27 |
| 1132 | No | $39.37 |
| HellYeahTrader | No | $27.97 |
| TheArbTraderMax | No | $27.13 |
| Altergora | No | $25.37 |
| twobonclay | No | $18.03 |
| ghorrock | No | $15.17 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $10.37 |
100 wallets held a position at the close. The 54 biggest winners took $615; the 46 biggest losers gave up $805. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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