No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 45¢) and lost. Volume $6.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 99% · 14°C 1% · 15°C 0% | $51k |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $35k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 46% · 30°C 42% · 31°C 2% | $19k |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 6? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 19°C 48% · 20°C 45% · 21°C 7% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 6? | 19°C 97% · 20°C 7% · 21°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 59% · 3°C 39% · 4°C 2% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | No | $81.99 |
| elelondelagente | No | $48.23 |
| sbel | No | $39.78 |
| 0xedbe… | No | $27.13 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $20.21 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $14.02 |
| blowdryer | No | $13.28 |
| 241532532432 | No | $9.16 |
| Altergora | No | $8.99 |
| yellowhp | No | $8.70 |
| Tommy-123123 | No | $8.52 |
| twobonclay | No | $8.49 |
92 wallets held a position at the close. The 52 biggest winners took $376; the 40 biggest losers gave up $228. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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