Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 36% | $66k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 59% · 82-83°F 39% · 84-85°F 4% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 2? | 12°C 70% · 13°C 29% · 11°C 1% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 49% · 29°C 38% · 27°C 12% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 60% · 8°C 27% · 9°C 2% | $11k |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 98% · 10°C 2% | $10k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $331.56 |
| sbel | Yes | $262.01 |
| HellYeahTrader | Yes | $171.57 |
| cvcvbvbvbMM | Yes | $163.14 |
| pashnin | Yes | $151.42 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $92.02 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $68.66 |
| fildoro | Yes | $64.89 |
| andyjoy | Yes | $58.41 |
| 0x03a4… | Yes | $44.10 |
| habash2 | Yes | $38.13 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $36.99 |
117 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 52 biggest losers gave up $1.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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