Yes won. Smart money backed No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $15k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 52% · No 48% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 59% · 5°C 3% · 6°C 1% | $17k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 12°C 48% · 11°C 47% · 13°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 52% · 70-71°F 31% · 74-75°F 12% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 99% · 3°C 1% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 56% · 13°C 28% · 11°C 11% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 50% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 11% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $796.91 |
| 0xa1cc… | Yes | $154.16 |
| SZ9558 | Yes | $114.14 |
| yellowhp | Yes | $103.17 |
| HellYeahTrader | Yes | $96.04 |
| 1132 | Yes | $92.13 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $71.35 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | Yes | $69.57 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $62.41 |
| BobbythePug | Yes | $35.28 |
| dontknowhappen | Yes | $31.76 |
| 0xe28d… | Yes | $29.47 |
149 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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