Yes won. Smart money backed No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $7.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
VitoCorleone777 took +$277 on Yes from 52¢; the biggest loser gave up $355.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 48% · 18°C 46% · 20°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 42% · 9°C 9% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 42% · 11°C 36% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 35% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| VitoCorleone777 | Yes | $277.35 |
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $182.56 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $102.41 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | Yes | $101.64 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $80.52 |
| jijodebot | Yes | $63.63 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | Yes | $60.16 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $57.21 |
| 1132 | Yes | $41.69 |
| AppleCider22 | Yes | $37.69 |
| televisionloud | Yes | $36.98 |
| rocky42006 | Yes | $33.50 |
96 wallets held a position at the close. The 57 biggest winners took $1.4k; the 39 biggest losers gave up $781. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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