Yes won. Smart money backed No (18 ranked wallets, average entry 84¢) and lost. Volume $8.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
weather12345 took +$622 on Yes from 0¢; the biggest loser gave up $349.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 99% · 29°C 0% · 26°C 0% | $43k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 58% · 11°C 28% · 13°C 10% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 100% · 18°C 0% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 65% · 12°C 20% · 14°C 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 59% · 9°C 37% · 11°C 10% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 16? | 12°C 43% · 13°C 42% · 14°C 11% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| weather12345 | Yes | $621.69 |
| VitoCorleone777 | Yes | $570.17 |
| Niuniujiaoyi2244 | Yes | $481.04 |
| mistoquente | Yes | $358.07 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $259.64 |
| sawan4 | Yes | $137.61 |
| devD109 | Yes | $78.68 |
| bytheriversofb | Yes | $61.57 |
| chaorenD | Yes | $55.50 |
| tuntuntuntuntuntunsahur | Yes | $38.31 |
| 1000ft | Yes | $33.26 |
| LuisBot | Yes | $31.68 |
96 wallets held a position at the close. The 45 biggest winners took $3.0k; the 51 biggest losers gave up $2.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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