No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $1.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 39% · 70-71°F 31% · 74-75°F 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 55% · 13°C 27% · 11°C 21% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Qingdao on November 6? | 13°C 100% · 14°C 1% · 15°C 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 67% · 3°C 17% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 57% · 12°C 22% · 10°C 19% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ghorrock | No | $0.85 |
| 241532532432 | No | $0.75 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.56 |
| dp. | Yes | −$3.55 |
| 0x4a1e… | Yes | −$3.18 |
| mar1337 | Yes | −$2.46 |
| Midterms1 | Yes | −$0.99 |
| Smallbet8 | Yes | −$0.54 |
| sergo600 | Yes | −$0.51 |
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $2; the 6 biggest losers gave up $11. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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