Yes won. Smart money backed No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 30°C 100% · 31°C 0% | $22k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 49% · 11°C 30% · 13°C 16% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 50% · 12°C 42% · 10°C 1% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 47% · 70-71°F 28% · 68-69°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 6°C 22% · 3°C 9% · 7°C 1% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 63% · 84-85°F 34% · 82-83°F 2% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $621.01 |
| cvcvbvbvbMM | Yes | $222.57 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | $216.16 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $176.77 |
| VitoCorleone777 | Yes | $160.00 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $149.57 |
| yellowhp | Yes | $109.80 |
| AuspiciousWolf | Yes | $80.95 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $48.89 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $45.04 |
| e4s6r7.pm | Yes | $33.58 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $32.88 |
102 wallets held a position at the close. The 48 biggest winners took $2.1k; the 54 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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