Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 75¢) and lost. Volume $4.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 71% · No 30% | $66k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 2? | 12°C 62% · 13°C 22% · 11°C 14% | $29k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 58% · 82-83°F 40% · 84-85°F 4% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 84% · 8°C 14% · 9°C 2% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 84-85°F 43% · 82-83°F 34% · 80-81°F 11% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 45% · 29°C 42% · 27°C 13% | $11k |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $10k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| yellowhp | Yes | $56.55 |
| HellYeahTrader | Yes | $47.78 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $46.93 |
| shamubronze3 | Yes | $45.61 |
| bingkuai1014 | Yes | $41.29 |
| dami-1 | Yes | $35.77 |
| -Quacky- | Yes | $28.26 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $27.46 |
| o6igpzzrvtu7 | Yes | $27.45 |
| mcdownload2 | Yes | $23.64 |
| Tom365 | Yes | $18.77 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $18.33 |
81 wallets held a position at the close. The 39 biggest winners took $636; the 42 biggest losers gave up $412. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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