No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $8.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
y111m11 took +$135 on No from 99¢; the biggest loser gave up $101.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 68% · 18°C 27% · 16°C 0% | $32k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 81% · 17°C 17% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 54% · 11°C 30% · 9°C 17% | $9k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 57% · 20°C 31% · 18°C 9% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 41% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| y111m11 | No | $135.20 |
| quqqq | No | $78.67 |
| skylerx | No | $43.92 |
| twobonclay | No | $38.05 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $33.78 |
| 0x4f7e… | No | $21.61 |
| dobrelya | No | $20.28 |
| wtrader2580 | No | $17.40 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $14.17 |
| NewDi | No | $13.62 |
| primoS | No | $13.11 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $11.83 |
90 wallets held a position at the close. The 53 biggest winners took $605; the 37 biggest losers gave up $413. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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