No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢) and lost. Volume $3.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 99% · 14°C 1% · 15°C 0% | $51k |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $35k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 56% · 30°C 36% · 31°C 0% | $22k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 72% · 21°C 12% · 19°C 10% | $19k |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 6? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 59% · 3°C 40% · 4°C 3% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 45% · 13°C 34% · 11°C 14% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x9506… | No | $39.24 |
| 0x2706… | No | $14.61 |
| giuselon | No | $14.36 |
| BudgetDegen420 | No | $13.45 |
| haiwenxiang | No | $9.25 |
| 0x567 | No | $7.80 |
| 0xyahn | No | $7.23 |
| jcacki | No | $5.16 |
| Alcaraz2026 | No | $5.09 |
| sunmoonstar | No | $4.75 |
| yellowhp | No | $4.48 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $4.00 |
76 wallets held a position at the close. The 40 biggest winners took $178; the 36 biggest losers gave up $320. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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