Yes won. Smart money backed No (12 ranked wallets, average entry 65¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 45% · 11°C 26% · 13°C 12% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 41% · 70-71°F 28% · 74-75°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 62% · 12°C 29% · 10°C 8% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 80% · 3°C 42% · 4°C 2% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 17% · 6°C 13% · 7°C 2% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 6? | 9°C 47% · 10°C 36% · 8°C 8% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $739.72 |
| 0xac9f… | Yes | $417.68 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $169.23 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $164.20 |
| 0x44f1...kk99kk | Yes | $74.50 |
| mar1337 | Yes | $71.02 |
| haiwenxiang | Yes | $45.51 |
| mcdownload2 | Yes | $42.88 |
| 0x1024… | Yes | $40.45 |
| 0x5f3e… | Yes | $32.24 |
| fcwl | Yes | $32.20 |
| Alcaraz2026 | Yes | $31.05 |
169 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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