No won. Smart money backed Yes (15 ranked wallets, average entry 26¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 95% · 14°C 2% · 15°C 1% | $53k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 57% · 33°C 35% | $21k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 64% · 28°C 24% · 30°C 13% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 16°C 46% · 17°C 35% · 15°C 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 21°C 57% · 20°C 25% · 22°C 11% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 39% · 11°C 19% · 10°C 5% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 6? | 14°C 55% · 15°C 24% · 13°C 16% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| quqqq | No | $253.18 |
| 0x65f7… | No | $69.05 |
| 1132 | No | $49.44 |
| Thermomenal | No | $32.83 |
| 0x397a… | No | $29.47 |
| mgxsx | No | $20.24 |
| 241532532432 | No | $8.65 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $8.44 |
| SunWhisperer | No | $7.72 |
| LornaPredicts | No | $6.60 |
| 0x418a… | No | $6.42 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | $5.88 |
98 wallets held a position at the close. The 39 biggest winners took $559; the 59 biggest losers gave up $461. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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