No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $9.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $67k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 45% · 29°C 43% · 27°C 7% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 44% · 72-73°F 35% · 76-77°F 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 3? | 11°C 65% · 12°C 24% · 10°C 10% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 52% · 27°C 39% · 29°C 9% | $10k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 26°C 92% · 25°C 5% · 24°C 3% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 3? | 16°C 65% · 17°C 33% · 15°C 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 3? | 13°C 46% · 12°C 41% · 11°C 4% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tenkiyoho | No | $419.09 |
| smi1e | No | $170.47 |
| t3wjvhmxk7fpcnr4ady7 | No | $14.52 |
| Bilberry | No | $12.24 |
| wtrader2580 | No | $11.56 |
| FuneralFog | No | $10.00 |
| Rich-Worm | No | $6.87 |
| 0x28ea… | No | $6.44 |
| oleg19x | No | $6.12 |
| 0x42fb… | No | $4.56 |
| 0x99f1… | No | $3.17 |
| firstbroad | No | $2.99 |
46 wallets held a position at the close. The 41 biggest winners took $702; the 5 biggest losers gave up $27. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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