No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $4.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 50% · 11°C 32% · 13°C 15% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 62% · 12°C 26% · 10°C 5% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 40% · 70-71°F 28% · 68-69°F 15% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 82% · 3°C 23% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 38% · 6°C 21% · 7°C 2% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 68% · 84-85°F 30% · 82-83°F 3% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| andyjoy | No | $146.90 |
| Pellepele | No | $77.09 |
| 0x65f7… | No | $44.70 |
| rocky42024 | No | $41.46 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $15 |
| 0x5f3e… | No | $13.74 |
| HWReborn | No | $12.04 |
| ravendaren | No | $8.75 |
| gghff | No | $7.97 |
| 1132 | No | $7.38 |
| SunWhisperer | No | $6.97 |
| 0xc017… | No | $6.50 |
78 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $451; the 41 biggest losers gave up $588. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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