Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 87¢) and lost. Volume $8.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 46% · 11°C 29% · 13°C 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 41% · 70-71°F 28% · 74-75°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 62% · 12°C 21% · 10°C 11% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 79% · 3°C 16% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 6°C 20% · 3°C 17% · 7°C 6% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 6? | 9°C 47% · 10°C 39% · 8°C 10% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $557.89 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $218.67 |
| HellYeahTrader | Yes | $157.80 |
| mar1337 | Yes | $121.58 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $107.04 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $92.95 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $88.03 |
| dandanteng | Yes | $84.86 |
| bryant666888 | Yes | $83.64 |
| hokinado | Yes | $74.69 |
| dami-1 | Yes | $68.02 |
| fastestclick | Yes | $66.62 |
105 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.6k; the 44 biggest losers gave up $2.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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