No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $3.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 99% · 14°C 1% · 15°C 0% | $51k |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $35k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 55% · 30°C 46% · 31°C 1% | $19k |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 6? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 58% · 19°C 48% · 21°C 7% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 6? | 19°C 92% · 20°C 12% · 21°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 53% · 3°C 39% · 4°C 3% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| UKRAINEforever | No | $0.86 |
| Otti36 | Yes | −$2.02 |
| Katty3105 | Yes | −$1 |
| dp. | Yes | −$0.54 |
4 wallets held a position at the close. The 1 biggest winners took $1; the 3 biggest losers gave up $4. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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