No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $1.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
HellYeahTrader took +$16 on No from 93¢; the biggest loser gave up $15.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 97% · 26°C 9% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 15? | 18°C 98% · 19°C 3% · 20°C 0% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on November 15? | 30°C 99% · 31°C 1% · 32°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 100% · 20°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 36% · 8°C 25% · 6°C 22% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| HellYeahTrader | No | $15.76 |
| 123987456 | No | $7.68 |
| Weatherfan | No | $2.15 |
| HWReborn | No | $1.47 |
| mawri | No | $1.07 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $1.03 |
| SoW-yiyi | No | $0.83 |
| dami-1 | No | $0.79 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.72 |
| cityevents | No | $0.68 |
| 0x50ea… | No | $0.61 |
| 0x9b62… | No | $0.50 |
21 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $33; the 9 biggest losers gave up $45. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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