No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $5.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 40% · 70-71°F 29% · 74-75°F 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 60% · 11°C 25% · 13°C 21% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Qingdao on November 6? | 13°C 100% · 14°C 1% · 15°C 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 74% · 3°C 21% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 55% · 12°C 21% · 10°C 19% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $44.84 |
| Baccck | No | $38.33 |
| AuspiciousWolf | No | $8.27 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $7.41 |
| yuyu2025 | No | $6.85 |
| fcwl | No | $5.81 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $5.15 |
| ghorrock | No | $5.10 |
| 0x9506… | No | $4.53 |
| 241532532432 | No | $4.38 |
| Thermomenal | No | $3.89 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $3.63 |
67 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $176; the 30 biggest losers gave up $433. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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