Yes won. Smart money backed No (12 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢) and lost. Volume $9.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x65f7… took +$710 on Yes from 32¢; the biggest loser gave up $402.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 99% · 26°C 1% | $23k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 15? | 18°C 100% · 20°C 0% · 19°C 0% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Lowest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 12°C 94% · 11°C 6% · 8°C or below 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 98% · 19°C 1% · 18°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 28% · 8°C 20% · 6°C 18% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $710.39 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $184.41 |
| nailongdabao | Yes | $131.76 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $127.19 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $112.37 |
| 0x66h4...w1h61k | Yes | $53.75 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | $45.77 |
| hxlg4ever | Yes | $45.46 |
| yellowhp | Yes | $44.02 |
| ahsujfhaoifs | Yes | $40.49 |
| Alcaraz2026 | Yes | $37.09 |
| SZ9558 | Yes | $33.45 |
137 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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