No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $7.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
blowdryer took +$87 on No from 67¢; the biggest loser gave up $212.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 68% · 18°C 27% · 16°C 0% | $31k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 81% · 17°C 18% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 53% · 11°C 32% · 9°C 14% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 59% · 20°C 29% · 18°C 11% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 29% · 56-57°F 23% · 55°F or below 20% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 42% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| blowdryer | No | $87.25 |
| gghff | No | $51.50 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $49.42 |
| 0xyahn | No | $40.00 |
| fildoro | No | $35.10 |
| televisionloud | No | $34.70 |
| Shiba-Inu | No | $29.20 |
| AlphaRinne | No | $27.08 |
| 0x5bcf… | No | $25.54 |
| Whoknows69 | No | $21.96 |
| 241532532432 | No | $19.89 |
| asdfhdf | No | $13.68 |
136 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $669; the 51 biggest losers gave up $990. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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