No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $4.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
blowdryer took +$5 on No from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $9.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 68% · 18°C 27% · 16°C 0% | $31k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 81% · 17°C 18% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 53% · 11°C 32% · 9°C 14% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 59% · 20°C 29% · 18°C 11% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 29% · 56-57°F 23% · 55°F or below 20% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 42% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| blowdryer | No | $5.21 |
| Weatherfan | No | $4.01 |
| xiaoxiaocangying | No | $1.07 |
| BeginnersLuck2 | No | $0.90 |
| bitsniper | No | $0.85 |
| weather-vane | No | $0.79 |
| SunnyStorm | No | $0.76 |
| zelenjava | No | $0.70 |
| luciebot | No | $0.69 |
| BeefSlayer | Yes | −$9 |
| dtyb | Yes | −$8 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | −$4.80 |
20 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $15; the 11 biggest losers gave up $32. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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