Yes won. Smart money backed No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $8.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
BeefSlayer took +$212 on Yes from 5¢; the biggest loser gave up $490.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 57% · 18°C 27% · 20°C 5% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 41% · 9°C 11% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 34% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BeefSlayer | Yes | $212.32 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $93.25 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $92.24 |
| sbel | Yes | $86.89 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $79.84 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $78.94 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $71.14 |
| pashnin | Yes | $69.38 |
| pierodi87 | Yes | $66.40 |
| televisionloud | Yes | $60.30 |
| ShyGuy1 | Yes | $57.94 |
| BeresBalu | Yes | $43.85 |
166 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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