No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $1.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$5 on No from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $6.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 66-67°F 45% · 64-65°F 42% · 62-63°F 10% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 50-51°F 19% · 48-49°F 16% · 54-55°F 14% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 56% · 56-57°F 32% · 52-53°F 10% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 47% · 56-57°F 33% · 60-61°F 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 14? | 46-47°F 48% · 48-49°F 39% · 50-51°F 8% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 54% · 70-71°F 28% · 74-75°F 14% | $10k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 8 67% · Greater than 8 13% · 7 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 14? | 27°C 30% · 26°C 28% · 28°C 17% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $4.53 |
| god83743894 | No | $2.35 |
| 0x2706… | No | $1.34 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $1.21 |
| ghorrock | No | $1.01 |
| 0x50ea… | No | $0.75 |
| Mymycrousty67 | Yes | −$6.00 |
| Psychomer | Yes | −$4.58 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | −$2.88 |
| dp. | Yes | −$1.85 |
| HotDogChewer | Yes | −$1 |
| ghorrock | Yes | −$0.90 |
15 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $11; the 9 biggest losers gave up $19. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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