No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $3.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xbc4e… took +$42 on No from 83¢; the biggest loser gave up $60.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 59% · 18°C 31% · 16°C 0% | $25k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 85% · 17°C 15% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 51% · 11°C 34% · 9°C 17% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 30% · 60-61°F 24% · 56-57°F 16% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 7% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 32% · 13°C 16% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xbc4e… | No | $41.82 |
| ggily611a | No | $24.31 |
| 241532532432 | No | $20.48 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $7.35 |
| HWReborn | No | $5.54 |
| nailongdabao | Yes | $5.43 |
| 0xee92… | No | $4 |
| sshiShiba. | No | $3.63 |
| heyhighhuii1 | No | $3.59 |
| fregdf12f | No | $3.00 |
| 0x08ed… | No | $2.86 |
| 0x874d… | No | $2.71 |
65 wallets held a position at the close. The 31 biggest winners took $151; the 34 biggest losers gave up $201. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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