No won. Smart money backed Yes (16 ranked wallets, average entry 7¢) and lost. Volume $20k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$331 on No from 48¢; the biggest loser gave up $176.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 8? | 16°C 49% · 17°C 43% · 18°C 8% | $25k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 8? | 24°C 91% · 26°C 1% · 25°C 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 8? | 17°C 56% · 16°C 26% · 18°C 16% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 8? | 28°C 44% · 27°C 31% · 29°C 14% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 8? | 15°C 64% · 16°C 32% · 17°C 7% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 8? | 7°C 36% · 6°C 31% · 5°C 9% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 8? | 30°C 66% · 29°C 29% · 31°C 5% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Toronto on November 8? | 10°C 42% · 11°C 35% · 9°C 14% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $330.56 |
| HotWeatherGirl | No | $102.42 |
| moly42 | No | $95.47 |
| Qatalyst | No | $90.03 |
| AlphaRinne | No | $77.42 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $49.94 |
| 0xf762… | No | $36.19 |
| 0xe7c6… | No | $35.15 |
| BudgetDegen420 | No | $35.08 |
| TheArbTraderMax | No | $30.98 |
| 0xb0f3… | No | $30.95 |
| VultureCapital | No | $25.42 |
141 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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