No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $1.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 63% · No 37% | $66k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 63% · 82-83°F 30% · 78-79°F 7% | $20k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 99% · 19°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 78% · 8°C 23% · 10°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 2? | 12°C 53% · 13°C 45% · 11°C 2% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 2? | 31°C 100% · 32°C 0% | $12k |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 12°C 20% · 10°C 12% · 13°C 2% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| blowdryer | No | $5.24 |
| toooocold | Yes | $2.12 |
| daegoth | No | $2.04 |
| hfrozendancer | No | $1.20 |
| photographerstarfish | No | $0.57 |
| squisito | Yes | $0.56 |
| 0xe95f… | Yes | −$3.34 |
| drewid | Yes | −$3.20 |
| ForeverAlone69 | Yes | −$3 |
| 0x4e72… | Yes | −$2.08 |
| Otti36 | Yes | −$1.27 |
| 0x57c3… | Yes | −$0.78 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $12; the 6 biggest losers gave up $14. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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