Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢) and lost. Volume $2.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
sbel took +$307 on Yes from 44¢; the biggest loser gave up $165.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 77% · 26°C 32% · 27°C 1% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 98% · 17°C 1% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 15? | 26°C 54% · 27°C 30% · 28°C 6% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 78% · 20°C 18% · 21°C 1% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 36% · 8°C 25% · 6°C 21% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 15? | 27°C 94% · 28°C 8% · 29°C 1% | $10k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| sbel | Yes | $307.43 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | $152.02 |
| 0xabb9… | Yes | $28.82 |
| hn54pVpVmJsjn2CA | Yes | $26.20 |
| 0x8443… | Yes | $19.36 |
| 0x79c2… | Yes | $13.11 |
| televisionloud | Yes | $11.64 |
| Qatalyst | Yes | $11.52 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | $11.49 |
| arsenal85 | Yes | $10.91 |
| TheCircleMaker | Yes | $10.67 |
| 0xac9f… | Yes | $10.38 |
79 wallets held a position at the close. The 47 biggest winners took $734; the 32 biggest losers gave up $578. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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