No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $1.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
blowdryer took +$28 on No from 82¢; the biggest loser gave up $32.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 68% · 18°C 27% · 16°C 0% | $31k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 81% · 17°C 18% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 53% · 11°C 32% · 9°C 14% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 59% · 20°C 29% · 18°C 11% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 29% · 56-57°F 23% · 55°F or below 20% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 42% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| blowdryer | No | $28.04 |
| 241532532432 | No | $10.63 |
| ArnalWeather | No | $9.88 |
| bryant666888 | No | $9.54 |
| ghorrock | No | $7.39 |
| 0xaba7… | No | $6.60 |
| dandanteng | No | $6.60 |
| 0xac9f… | No | $6.18 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $5.83 |
| Mini. | No | $4.40 |
| 0x08ed… | No | $4 |
| crypt941 | No | $3.99 |
51 wallets held a position at the close. The 28 biggest winners took $130; the 23 biggest losers gave up $108. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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