Yes won. Smart money backed No (8 ranked wallets, average entry 68¢) and lost. Volume $4.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xfd6c… took +$246 on Yes from 14¢; the biggest loser gave up $200.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 0% · 12°C 0% | $51k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 94% · 26°C 3% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 15? | 25°C 100% · 26°C 0% · 23°C 0% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 15? | 27°C 100% · 28°C 0% · 29°C 0% | $17k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 98% · 18°C 1% · 19°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 34% · 6°C 29% · 8°C 20% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 15? | 33°C 100% · 34°C 0% · 38°C or higher 0% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xfd6c… | Yes | $246.23 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $199.76 |
| sssssssssssssssq | Yes | $182.51 |
| ShyGuy1 | Yes | $135.53 |
| 0x69ec… | Yes | $92.28 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | $61.60 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $52.73 |
| yxh0 | Yes | $47.20 |
| hansonjc | Yes | $27.30 |
| CharlieNewhouse | Yes | $21.72 |
| eylonbsh4 | Yes | $20.88 |
| m15n1gh7r27 | Yes | $19.20 |
71 wallets held a position at the close. The 33 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 38 biggest losers gave up $1.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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