No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $3.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 65% · No 36% | $66k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 32°C 1% · 29°C 0% | $20k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 64% · 82-83°F 30% · 78-79°F 3% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 55% · 8°C 45% · 10°C 2% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 99% · 19°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 2? | 31°C 79% · 33°C 0% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 2? | 12°C 51% · 13°C 38% · 10°C 0% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 8°C 56% · 7°C 34% · 9°C 6% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Qatalyst | No | $10.27 |
| iSteps | No | $5.84 |
| peeekdajl | No | $5.38 |
| elelondelagente | Yes | $2.07 |
| user110q | No | $1.76 |
| AtmosAlpha | No | $1 |
| ElJefeGrande | No | $0.92 |
| daegoth | No | $0.72 |
| shota23 | No | $0.58 |
| 0xc8d6… | No | $0.50 |
| HotWeatherGirl | Yes | −$9.61 |
| mar1337 | Yes | −$2.59 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $29; the 8 biggest losers gave up $21. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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