No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 45¢) and lost. Volume $3.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 4? | 18°C 95% · 19°C 1% · 17°C 1% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 30°C 52% · 31°C 49% · 32°C 1% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4? | Yes 30% · No 70% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4? | 28°C 49% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 13% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 4? | 28°C 60% · 27°C 37% · 26°C 3% | $11k |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 4? | 18°C 50% · 17°C 44% · 16°C 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 60% · 11°C 19% · 9°C 17% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x37tfgrdw24j | No | $38.19 |
| tenkitenki | No | $17.53 |
| elelondelagente | No | $12.19 |
| 0xf762… | No | $11.88 |
| lochilo2 | No | $8.44 |
| Jormungandalf | No | $7.14 |
| maker2026 | Yes | $7.05 |
| 2299snfn3 | No | $3.68 |
| dub2-CF | No | $3.44 |
| Bezdelnik | No | $3.19 |
| twobonclay | No | $2.90 |
| karlbertiljonsson | No | $2.40 |
41 wallets held a position at the close. The 18 biggest winners took $125; the 23 biggest losers gave up $298. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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