No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $10k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 36% | $66k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 59% · 82-83°F 39% · 84-85°F 4% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 2? | 12°C 70% · 13°C 29% · 11°C 1% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 49% · 29°C 38% · 27°C 12% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 60% · 8°C 27% · 9°C 2% | $11k |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 98% · 10°C 2% | $10k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| AlexD87 | No | $386.39 |
| fregdf12f | No | $186.76 |
| rubby-always-wins | No | $166.19 |
| rocky42008 | No | $102.57 |
| HellYeahTrader | No | $29.75 |
| Windollar | No | $27.28 |
| shamubronze3 | No | $25.26 |
| 0x96bf… | No | $24.06 |
| 241532532432 | No | $23.54 |
| qqqppp-l1 | No | $20.72 |
| dub2-CF | No | $19.52 |
| sswlnl77 | No | $16.32 |
159 wallets held a position at the close. The 57 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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