No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $1.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 65% · No 35% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 51% · 21°C 25% · 19°C 20% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 50% · 27°C 33% · 29°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 44% · 76-77°F 38% · 80-81°F 13% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 48% · 62-63°F 35% · 64-65°F 4% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 52% · 19°C 39% · 18°C 5% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| daegoth | No | $3.72 |
| 0xaee7… | Yes | −$1 |
2 wallets held a position at the close. The 1 biggest winners took $4; the 1 biggest losers gave up $1. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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