No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 63% · No 37% | $33k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 31°C 70% · 30°C 22% · 32°C 9% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 8°C 48% · 7°C 38% · 9°C 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 2? | 19°C 98% · 20°C 2% · 21°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 2? | 15°C 78% · 14°C 15% · 16°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 55% · 82-83°F 23% · 78-79°F 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 66% · 8°C 33% · 11°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 12°C 28% · 10°C 5% · 13°C 2% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $252.34 |
| qwerty555 | No | $108.65 |
| shamubronze3 | No | $81.63 |
| Tom365 | No | $62.82 |
| 0xyahn | No | $49.41 |
| qqqppp-l1 | No | $46.18 |
| Cuccuc2026 | No | $45.48 |
| Weatherboy2 | No | $22.49 |
| NeverSnipe | No | $21.94 |
| 0xaee7… | No | $20.63 |
| neverhackme | No | $18.86 |
| scotsban | No | $18.40 |
140 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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