No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $8.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x4fc3… took +$31 on No from 91¢; the biggest loser gave up $45.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 11% · 18°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 55% · 11°C 28% · 9°C 17% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 62% · No 38% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 58% · 20°C 31% · 18°C 8% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 44% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 55% · 14°C 29% · 12°C 14% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x4fc3… | No | $30.62 |
| azhasj | No | $18.67 |
| zZziou | No | $18.50 |
| tgshduxvs | No | $13.23 |
| ghorrock | No | $7.96 |
| hello.67 | No | $6.16 |
| 0x65f9… | No | $5.50 |
| Navatar | No | $4.46 |
| gugagugagu | Yes | $4 |
| xiaoxiaocangying | No | $3.45 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $3.11 |
| yuyu2025 | No | $3 |
77 wallets held a position at the close. The 39 biggest winners took $151; the 38 biggest losers gave up $215. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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