Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $19k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 67% · No 33% | $66k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 2? | 12°C 77% · 11°C 18% · 13°C 6% | $30k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 82-83°F 65% · 84-85°F 27% · 80-81°F 16% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 98% · 8°C 2% · 9°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 84-85°F 39% · 82-83°F 36% · 80-81°F 10% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 2? | 84-85°F 56% · 86-87°F 21% · 82-83°F 18% | $10k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 12°C 98% · 13°C 1% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| quqqq | Yes | $475.38 |
| Tiou | Yes | $342.54 |
| free13 | Yes | $282.48 |
| metwrong | Yes | $201.32 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $173.27 |
| kenchan5544332211 | Yes | $117 |
| CreamCream1215 | Yes | $105.59 |
| Skywill | Yes | $93.80 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $91 |
| Plan-J | Yes | $86.06 |
| 0x2662… | Yes | $80.41 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $74.11 |
116 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.0k; the 46 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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