No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $1.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
whhisky took +$3 on No from 88¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 66-67°F 46% · 64-65°F 39% · 62-63°F 9% | $13k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% · 5 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 53% · 56-57°F 28% · 52-53°F 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 50-51°F 16% · 52-53°F 15% · 54-55°F 15% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? | 19°C 60% · 18°C 25% · 20°C 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 47% · 56-57°F 24% · 60-61°F 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 55% · 74-75°F 25% · 70-71°F 17% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 14? | 60-61°F 28% · 64-65°F 20% · 66-67°F 8% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| whhisky | No | $2.87 |
| 241532532432 | No | $2.28 |
| Cyclone. | No | $2.03 |
| shota23 | No | $0.99 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.95 |
| 0x50ea… | No | $0.75 |
| supermeow | No | $0.71 |
| weatherman7 | No | $0.66 |
| WilliMekkit | No | $0.61 |
| 0x67e6… | No | $0.56 |
| dp. | Yes | −$1.68 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | −$1.60 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $12; the 8 biggest losers gave up $9. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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