No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $6.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x9506… took +$90 on No from 91¢; the biggest loser gave up $208.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 99% · 26°C 0% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 15? | 25°C 100% · 23°C 0% · 24°C 0% | $21k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 25% · 8°C 21% · 6°C 20% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 99% · 18°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 57% · 12°C 20% · 14°C 19% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 99% · 30°C 3% · 31°C 0% | $10k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x9506… | No | $90.46 |
| Haradwaith | No | $27.62 |
| fildoro | No | $19.87 |
| 0xeb1b… | No | $19.74 |
| Thermomenal | No | $15.89 |
| 1132 | No | $13.76 |
| hello.67 | No | $13.30 |
| blowdryer | No | $13.10 |
| whhisky | No | $10.13 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $9.23 |
| 241532532432 | No | $8.42 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $6.94 |
68 wallets held a position at the close. The 45 biggest winners took $320; the 23 biggest losers gave up $375. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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