No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 18¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
HellYeahTrader took +$185 on No from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $82.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 88% · 17°C 11% · 18°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 55% · 11°C 28% · 9°C 16% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 62% · No 38% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 31% · 18°C 8% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 55% · 14°C 29% · 12°C 15% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| HellYeahTrader | No | $185.10 |
| ghorrock | No | $24.13 |
| crypt941 | No | $11.33 |
| Thermomenal | No | $6.21 |
| 241532532432 | No | $5.71 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $5.61 |
| haveagoodday | No | $3.97 |
| fregdf12f | No | $3.20 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $3.13 |
| pppnn | No | $2.60 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $2.29 |
| oleksiyz | No | $2 |
38 wallets held a position at the close. The 25 biggest winners took $267; the 13 biggest losers gave up $180. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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