Yes won. Smart money backed No (8 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $2.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
PintouOClima took +$58 on Yes from 61¢; the biggest loser gave up $129.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 83% · 17°C 10% · 18°C 2% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 58% · 11°C 23% · 9°C 18% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 61% · 20°C 28% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 42% · 11°C 36% · 13°C 13% | $8k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 22°C 91% · 20°C 11% · 21°C 11% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 36% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| PintouOClima | Yes | $57.54 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $45.67 |
| dp. | Yes | $34.38 |
| Altergora | Yes | $28.13 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $18.60 |
| kryptogej | Yes | $17.54 |
| pogodynka | Yes | $16.63 |
| yrnmv | Yes | $16 |
| 0x03a4… | Yes | $15.58 |
| pogodynek | Yes | $14.81 |
| Clusius | Yes | $11.89 |
| wallingj13 | Yes | $10.64 |
65 wallets held a position at the close. The 35 biggest winners took $366; the 30 biggest losers gave up $343. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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