Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢) and lost. Volume $8.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $66k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 57% · 82-83°F 35% · 78-79°F 7% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 2? | 12°C 59% · 13°C 43% · 11°C 3% | $15k |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 46% · 29°C 42% · 27°C 10% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 97% · 10°C 2% | $10k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $344.00 |
| BobAxelrod | Yes | $241.02 |
| pashnin | Yes | $170.88 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $168.69 |
| OutOfMemory | Yes | $108.91 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $66.83 |
| 0xaee7… | Yes | $55.65 |
| shamubronze3 | Yes | $43.94 |
| 0x1ba6… | Yes | $29.71 |
| 0x03a4… | Yes | $29.25 |
| manuel11431180 | Yes | $28.20 |
| rocky42001 | Yes | $25.99 |
104 wallets held a position at the close. The 53 biggest winners took $1.7k; the 51 biggest losers gave up $1.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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