No won. Smart money backed Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $6.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
haiwenxiang took +$74 on Yes from 3¢; the biggest loser gave up $50.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 8? | 16°C 49% · 17°C 45% · 18°C 9% | $25k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 8? | 24°C 70% · 26°C 1% · 25°C 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 8? | 10°C 32% · 11°C 28% · 9°C 16% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 8? | 17°C 58% · 16°C 30% · 18°C 10% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 8? | 15°C 55% · 16°C 39% · 17°C 11% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 8? | 30°C 67% · 29°C 27% · 31°C 5% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 8? | 7°C 37% · 6°C 27% · 5°C 12% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 8? | 28°C 45% · 29°C 28% · 27°C 20% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| haiwenxiang | Yes | $73.98 |
| 241532532432 | No | $48.79 |
| Cuccuc2026 | Yes | $12.58 |
| shamubronze3 | Yes | $8.61 |
| ghorrock | No | $7.18 |
| m-syy | No | $6.97 |
| Winteriscoming. | Yes | $6.90 |
| 0x1abc… | No | $6.88 |
| mcdownload2 | Yes | $6.38 |
| zdfhftr | No | $6.20 |
| liikujyfh | No | $5.30 |
| HWReborn | No | $5.04 |
68 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $245; the 31 biggest losers gave up $182. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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