Yes won. Smart money backed No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $7.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x65f7… took +$447 on Yes from 51¢; the biggest loser gave up $84.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 14? | 28°C 99% · 29°C 1% · 30°C 0% | $28k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 14? | 13°C 99% · 14°C 2% · 15°C 0% | $24k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 14? | 21°C 83% · 22°C 39% · 23°C 2% | $20k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 14? | 2°C 95% · 3°C 4% · 4°C 1% | $20k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? | 19°C 99% · 20°C 1% · 21°C 0% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 14? | 13°C 61% · 14°C 59% · 15°C 3% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? | 25°C 93% · 26°C 6% · 27°C 1% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 48-49°F 24% · 50-51°F 20% · 46-47°F 14% | $17k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $446.71 |
| Maddad | Yes | $160.42 |
| yellowhp | Yes | $109.72 |
| pashnin | Yes | $86.21 |
| Foratata | Yes | $56.08 |
| ninja1985 | Yes | $40.18 |
| Alcaraz2026 | Yes | $32.65 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $28.15 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $23.35 |
| BobbythePug | Yes | $21.56 |
| progvg | Yes | $18.32 |
| Tommy-123123 | Yes | $18.26 |
172 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $626. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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