No won. Smart money backed Yes (15 ranked wallets, average entry 27¢) and lost. Volume $8.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$141 on No from 69¢; the biggest loser gave up $99.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 90% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 64% · 18°C 31% · 20°C 6% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 54% · 11°C 31% · 9°C 15% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 55% · 20°C 35% · 18°C 8% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 40% · 13°C 11% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $140.51 |
| overwhelming | No | $86.43 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $64.70 |
| Hassoh | No | $60.54 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $52.09 |
| VAPAPORRA | No | $42.75 |
| fregdf12f | No | $41.48 |
| 0x3308… | No | $39.30 |
| fildoro | No | $35.72 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $27.96 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $27.60 |
| lyd | No | $25.68 |
134 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $891; the 60 biggest losers gave up $888. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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