No won. Smart money backed Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $9.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x65f7… took +$108 on No from 74¢; the biggest loser gave up $223.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 66-67°F 45% · 64-65°F 39% · 62-63°F 9% | $13k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% · 5 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 53% · 56-57°F 26% · 52-53°F 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 54-55°F 18% · 50-51°F 17% · 52-53°F 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? | 19°C 58% · 18°C 27% · 20°C 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 46% · 56-57°F 35% · 60-61°F 13% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 54% · 74-75°F 26% · 70-71°F 18% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 14? | 46-47°F 59% · 44-45°F 25% · 48-49°F 12% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | No | $107.82 |
| zpi23748 | No | $105.02 |
| 0x3308… | Yes | $84.38 |
| sbel | No | $72.60 |
| 241532532432 | No | $70.11 |
| MoneyForSky06 | No | $61.65 |
| fregdf12f | No | $59.67 |
| Thermomenal | No | $42.31 |
| 0x03a4… | No | $40.12 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $37.54 |
| 0xe7c6… | No | $36.60 |
| archi54570 | Yes | $29.42 |
128 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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