Yes won. Smart money backed No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $3.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x65f7… took +$152 on Yes from 45¢; the biggest loser gave up $116.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% · 18°C 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Singapore on November 15? | 30°C 85% · 31°C 14% · 33°C 2% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 87% · 18°C 7% · 20°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 15? | 24°C 66% · 25°C 26% · 26°C 6% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 30% · 8°C 28% · 6°C 20% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 58% · 11°C 23% · 9°C 19% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 15? | 18°C 42% · 19°C 33% · 17°C 9% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $152.30 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $76.20 |
| kerbrerv | Yes | $65.53 |
| 0x8443… | Yes | $43 |
| PintouOClima | Yes | $26.60 |
| wolfiAT | Yes | $24.30 |
| 0xe95f… | Yes | $23.25 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $21.75 |
| krbrv | Yes | $20.03 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $18.53 |
| blowdryer | Yes | $16.02 |
| televisionloud | Yes | $13.90 |
107 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $742; the 45 biggest losers gave up $447. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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