No won. Smart money backed Yes (17 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $7.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 99% · 14°C 1% · 16°C 1% | $58k |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $35k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 56% · 30°C 38% · 31°C 0% | $22k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 76% · 19°C 19% · 21°C 7% | $19k |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 6? | Yes 95% · No 6% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 6? | 19°C 95% · 20°C 2% · 21°C 1% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 59% · 3°C 40% · 4°C 3% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Pellepele | No | $185.61 |
| 0xeb1b… | No | $102.22 |
| HellYeahTrader | No | $67.62 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $65.64 |
| Thermomenal | No | $49.66 |
| 0x567 | No | $41.78 |
| AuspiciousWolf | No | $26.74 |
| 0xyahn | No | $25.97 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $23.10 |
| 1132 | No | $14.46 |
| 0x2706… | No | $13.23 |
| ghorrock | No | $12.08 |
92 wallets held a position at the close. The 51 biggest winners took $798; the 41 biggest losers gave up $1.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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