Yes won. Smart money backed No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 28¢) and lost. Volume $5.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x65f7… took +$211 on Yes from 60¢; the biggest loser gave up $106.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 99% · 26°C 1% | $23k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 15? | 18°C 100% · 20°C 0% · 19°C 0% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Lowest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 12°C 94% · 11°C 6% · 8°C or below 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 98% · 19°C 1% · 18°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 28% · 8°C 20% · 6°C 18% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $211.11 |
| sondinara | Yes | $70.45 |
| zamaog | Yes | $64.94 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $63.83 |
| 0x03a4… | Yes | $59.29 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $59.03 |
| Foratata | Yes | $57.30 |
| HellYeahTrader | Yes | $49.64 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $48.52 |
| 0x18e1… | Yes | $42 |
| pashnin | Yes | $33.64 |
| dp. | Yes | $33.33 |
99 wallets held a position at the close. The 59 biggest winners took $1.0k; the 40 biggest losers gave up $581. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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